what is a bellwether in politics

"Today, the whole world is in motion. One of the conditions of being a bellwether state is that its vote total is very close to the national average, which, up until Election Night 2016, Ohio had repeatedly been for many decades. This is more proof of massive election fraud. Even if a candidate didn't win Wisconsin as a whole, each one who carried Sawyer won the White House. That status hasn't held up as America's demographics have shifted. A world where the "American Dream" is a ruse and in which 7 we are powerless agents futilely trying to recharter our course, when the political ship captains 8 would never deign to give us—the stokers shoveling coal in the boiling room—a second 9 thought, much less a say in the ship's path. Meanwhile, 20% of the respondents said greater marketing spend was completely offset by those cutting expenditure, while the remaining 60% of panel members kept their marketing . Those 'Bellwether' counties are not wrong. What Is An Election Bellwether? Only one county went for former Vice President Joe Biden by about a 3 point margin. 2019 bellwether elections kick off with Louisiana's jungle primary Saturday First Read is your briefing from "Meet the Press" and the NBC Political Unit on the day's most important political . "Many of them are negative and destructive, but it is clear that we have entered a period of change. How to use bellwether in a sentence. Bellwether state is a state which, historically, tends to vote for the winning candidate, perhaps because it is demographically a microcosm of the country as a whole. Updated 1622 GMT (0022 HKT) May 17, 2012 . Bellwether seat: What it means, and the UK constituencies which could predict the 2019 general election result Bellwether refers to the historical process of placing a bell around the neck of a . Voters there are divided. The county has voted for every winning presidential candidate as far back as 1964. The outcome of an election kicking off this week in Uttar Pradesh could prove to be a bellwether . Stark County, with its diverse population, and mix of farm and industry was once seen as the bellwether of the nation. Wood County is a decent bellwether of the state: Mr. Trump carried it by eight points in 2016, matching his statewide margin. The Pennsylvania Valley That Became a Bellwether for Trump. "The one that comes closest is Stark, which is where Canton is… However, no Ohio county votes closer to the national average than the state does as a whole." By Nick Fouriezos. California was the Big Kahuna of June 5 primary states. In economics, a 'bellwether' is a leading indicator of an economic trend. There are a total of 3,141 counties or county equivalents in the United . A bellwether is a leader or an indicator of trends.. Democratic Gov. A small group of United Steel . In The Bellwether, Kyle Kondik, managing editor for the nonpartisan political forecasting newsletter Sabato's Crystal Ball, blends data-driven research and historical documentation to explain Ohio's remarkable record as a predictor of presidential results and why the state is essential to the 2016 election and beyond. In politics, the term bellwether often applies in a metaphorical sense to characterize a geographic region where Yamhill County has grown and diversified, and so has its politics. (JTA) — In January, Michigan's 11th . Thus, we used to say, long ago, as Maine goes, so goes the nation. And it's made 2020 unclear. Answer : The word "bellwether", in the context of politics or in the context of anything under the sun, is used to refer to a person who is considered to be a trendsetter, a trailblazer, a groundbreaker, a pioneer, a pathfinder. The Trump era made us rethink a lot about politics and elections in America, including the counties that are useful barometers of the national political environment. Those surrogates, which include President Joe Biden and first lady Jill Biden, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Barack Obama, have made it clear: Virginia is a political bellwether. In 2018, Senator Sherrod Brown, a Democrat, carried it by 11 points. By Peter Hamby, CNN Political Reporter. The Virginia governor's race is developing into a clear choice that has real implications for campaigns across the country in 2022 . What Does Bellwether Mean In Politics? Ohio is a . If you are of a certain age (say, 60 or above, which is still young, darn it all) and you have a memory for political trivia, you may recall the old political maxim that, "As Maine goes, so goes the nation.". "The degree to which the paper is censored is a political . Terry McAuliffe, the Democrat running for governor in Virginia during an off-year election, was seen in a video teleconference raising concern about President Biden's popularity in the state . What is happening is 'in your face' criminal enterprise, MSM cheerleading, funding and lying to keep the illegal inertia going. Tim Nesbitt. During elections in the United States, pollwethers often influence the outcome. a political scientist at Penn State's Harrisburg campus. Politics 101: Why Virginia's election is a national bellwether. Answer (1 of 5): Question : What does 'bellwether' mean in politics? is largely seen as a bellwether ahead of the 2022 midterms and a potential referendum on President Biden 's first year in office . ATHENS, Ohio — After decades as one of America's most reliable political bellwethers, an inevitable presidential battleground that closely mirrored the mood and makeup of the . With a population of about 230 million people, the state is a bellwether of the national mood. Sawyer County a presidential bellwether since 1964. A bellwether is a leading indicator of a trend or a shift. In 2020, all but one of the bellwethers picked President Donald Trump by a margin of some 16 points on average. Learn more. These former bellwether . A Smart Politics analysis of the last seven Iowa Democratic caucuses since 1980 finds that just 12 of the state's 99 counties have backed the caucus' statewide winner each cycle. Democrats, big tech, liberals, socialists, anarchists, 'dark' money and the puppeteers doling it out are in full attack, trying to steal America, not just the . U.S. Representative Haley Stevens (L) and U.S. Representative Rep. Andy Levin (R). Worcester has been a bellwether since 1979. Political Scientist Says Ohio Is No Longer A Bellwether, Swing, Or Battleground State The Statehouse News Bureau | By Jo Ingles Published November 5, 2020 at 4:48 PM EST Bookmark the Political Glossary and use it when unsure of what a political word or phrase means. Here's why. At that time both had voted over 90 percent of the time for the winning president candidate, with New Mexico being wrong only twice . The performance of certain companies/stocks and bonds are considered by analysts to indicate the condition of the . Democrats' midterm election prospects are daunting. America's most accurate bellwether counties, regions that have a reputation for accurately picking the president, got the presidential election completely wrong. Vermont is the anti-bellwether, with its voters backing a candidate from the party controlling the next Congress just 34.1 percent of the time (14 of 41 elections). It's working class versus suburbanites, left behind versus upwardly mobile. Winning the local polls resonates beyond the province. Armenia, I think, is a bellwether, showing that . Revolutionary changes are taking place everywhere," he said. At the 1997 general election, attracting the support of so-called Worcester woman was considered by Labour to be vital for victory nationwide. But in presidential politics, there are actually few true bellwethers left." An example is the state of Ohio, which was also long considered a bellwether for national voting preferences, but started losing its status as a bellwether as the state started more conservative, as noted by the New York Times in 2016. . bellwether definition: 1. someone or something that shows how a situation will develop or change: 2. someone or something…. Local political experts and party veterans in each of the four bellwether counties told . 3. (SOUNDBITE OF ARCHIVED RECORDING) In the United States of America, election analysts, political pundits and political parties usually focus on bellwether states, also referred to as the battleground states, for they can vote for . Bellwether: It originally meant the lead sheep in a flock. But that was 2016. Because Erie is the bellwether to the state that is most likely to pick the president in November. Bellwether was the assistant mayor to the mighty Mayor Lionheart, whose impatience and intolerance toward even the slightest amount of . February 18, 2022 5:30 am. "If they like . This support can change, and the polling division could diverge . Kansas (38.5 percent), Massachusetts (41.0 percent), Oregon (45.0 percent), New Hampshire (47.4 percent), Illinois (48.7 percent), and New York (48.7 percent) have likewise been . As my colleague Charlie Cook points out, the fact that Virginia governors are limited to just one, four-year term, means that every gubernatorial contest is an open seat — a much purer test of partisanship and the mood of the electorate than an election featuring an incumbent. Did you know? Only 1 of 17 bellwether counties went for Biden this year! There is a reason Ohio is called the bellwether of American presidential politics - a reason why it is watched so closely by the political professionals and the pundits every year. 1622 GMT ( 0022 HKT ) may 17, 2012 the Big of... Is Clallam county, in Washington state and the polling division could diverge behind. 3,141 counties or county that maintained its place as a bellwether is Clallam county, in Washington state which sometimes. Them are negative and destructive, but it is clear that we have entered a period of.. 1997 general election, attracting the support of so-called Worcester woman was considered Labour... 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